Monday, January 30

Celtics vs. Warriors odds, prediction: 2022 NBA Finals picks, Game 1 best bets from expert on 38-16 run

After a lengthy postseason journey, the 2022 NBA Finals get underway on Thursday evening. The Golden State Warriors welcome the Boston Celtics to Chase Center for Game 1. Stephen Curry leads the Warriors, with Golden State boasting a rest advantage after beating the Dallas Mavericks in the previous round. The Celtics are keyed by Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, with Boston defeating the Miami Heat in seven games to reach this point.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the 3.5-point favorite at home for this 9 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 213.5 in the latest Celtics vs. Warriors odds. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Celtics picks or NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine expert Zack Cimini has to say.

A Las Vegas handicapper who’s never afraid to buck conventional wisdom, Cimini excels in multiple sports. Over the past 33 NBA picks, Cimini is 22-11, returning almost $800 to $100 players. He is also on an amazing 38-16-1 run with his last 55 against-the-spread picks involving the Celtics, returning almost $1,800 to $100 players.

Now, Cimini has set his sights on Celtics vs. Warriors, and just locked in his picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -3.5
  • Celtics vs. Warriors over-under: 213.5 points
  • Celtics vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -170, Celtics +145
  • Celtics vs. Warriors tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • BOS: The Celtics are 12-6 against the spread in playoff games
  • GSW: The Warriors are 9-7 against the spread in playoff games

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston enjoys encouraging metrics on the offensive end. The Celtics are assisting on 65.5 percent of field goals in the postseason, and Boston has a 58.1 percent true shooting mark in the playoffs. Boston is also taking advantage of the free throw line, generating 24.3 attempts per game, and the Celtics are making 81.0 percent of free throws. Boston finished as a top-10 offense in the NBA this season, shooting 54.7 percent inside the arc and making 13.2 3-pointers per game. On the other end, the Celtics are elite defensively, leading the NBA in defensive rating, 2-point percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, field goal percentage allowed and assists allowed in the regular season. 

Boston is also allowing only 105.1 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs, an elite figure, and opponents are shooting only 43.3 percent from the field and 31.7 percent from 3-point range. The Celtics are holding opponents to 20.0 assists per game in the postseason, and Boston is also blocking 6.3 shots per game. With that two-way combination and versatile lineup construction centered on Tatum and Brown, the Celtics are difficult to overcome for any opponent.

Why the Warriors can cover

The Chase Center has been kind to the Warriors in the playoffs, with Golden State posting a 9-0 record and an obscenely impressive net rating of +14.4 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors are tremendous on defense, ranking in the top three of the NBA in myriad categories during the regular season, and Golden State also has the best offense in the 2022 NBA playoffs. The Warriors are scoring more than 1.16 points per possession against postseason competition, No. 1 in the league, and Golden State also leads the league in postseason assists (28.3 per game) and assist percentage (66.9 percent). 

The Warriors are shooting 49.3 percent from the field and 37.9 percent from 3-point range in the playoffs, and Golden State has an edge on the offensive glass in securing 28.2 percent of missed shots. The Warriors also have the best shooter in NBA history in Curry, who led the league in 3-pointers this season, and Golden State ranked in the top eight of the NBA in assist rate, assists per game, two-point shooting, three-pointers per game, 3-point accuracy, and fast break points during the 2021-22 regular season.

How to make Warriors vs. Celtics picks

For Game 1 of the NBA Finals 2022, Cimini is leaning under on the point total, but he also says a critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side of the Warriors vs. Celtics spread to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Celtics spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the expert that has crushed his NBA picks, and find out.  

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